Assault on Reason, by Expert Al Gore

After a year of the most abrupt cooling ever observed on Earth; while carbon dioxide has continued to increase, The Assault on Reason by Al Gore becomes increasingly incredible, if that is possible. Magnetic activity on the Sun increasingly emulates the period prior to the Dalton Minimum; we are now observing long periods free of sunspots, and other important magnetic indications (Average Geomagnetic Planetary Index (Ap)) run strongly parallel (Anthony Watts, Sun poised to make history with first spotless month since 1913)

Worth re-reading: “If Al Gore were truly concerned about carbon dioxide, he would be clamoring for nuclear power plants . . . Al Gore, himself, has already accumulated astonishing personal wealth during his campaign against world energy technology and is now a principal in a new corporation being formed to profit from public fear of global warming.”

The Virtues of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide

by Dr. Arthur Robinson Human Events January 4, 2008

(article includes 61 comments)

Al Gore’s movie, “An Inconvenient Truth,” includes some very remarkable revelations including:

1. A “computer calculated” temperature prediction curve with predictions beginning in 1938 — when neither Al Gore nor the computer had yet been invented.

2. Photos of South Sea islanders being washed from their islands by rising seas — sea level having risen 3 inches during the past 50 years.

3. Drawings of species driven to extinction by human use of hydrocarbons — including the Wooly Mammoth, which has been gone from the Earth for thousands of years.

4. A little girl’s ice cream cone melting before she can eat it — as a result of the current 0.5 degree centigrade per century increase in temperature.

5. 650,000 years of Earth temperature fluctuations, including 6 ice ages – all caused, according to Al Gore, by carbon dioxide fluctuations of entirely unknown origins.

Al Gore’s other popular offering is his book appropriately entitled The Assault on Reason — a subject for which he obviously has readily demonstrated expertise.

George Washington was at Valley Forge during the coldest period in 1,500 years, with Earth average temperatures dipping as low as 1 degree centigrade below the 3,000-year average. Since then, temperatures have gradually recovered. If the current rate of increase continues, about 2 centuries from now the temperature of the Earth will be back to that of the medieval period 1,000 years ago — when Greenland was green and warmer weather brought increased growing seasons and general rises in comfort and prosperity in many cooler climates.

Meanwhile, in the United States, rainfall is increasing, tornados are becoming less frequent, glaciers have been receding for 200 years — back to their more normal average lengths, and hurricane frequency and severity has been unchanged for the past century.

Standing timber in U.S. forests has, however, increased by 40% since 1950; 2,000-year-old pine trees are growing faster; and animal and plant quantity and diversity are sharply increasing. This is truly alarming! If current trends continue, we will be overrun by squirrels, deer, and foxes and fighting for our lives against aggressively growing orange and apple trees. A dire prediction was even published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences — I am not making this up — warning that poison ivy is also growing faster.

The three most important substances that make life possible are water, oxygen, and carbon dioxide. The primary structural and functional element in all living things is carbon. All carbon in protein, fat, carbohydrate, and the other organic molecules in living things is derived from atmospheric carbon dioxide. Without atmospheric carbon dioxide, life as we know it would not be possible. Plants inhale carbon dioxide and are thereby fertilized. When atmospheric carbon dioxide increases — as it has by about 30% during the past century, plant life and the animal life that thrives upon it are also increased.

The annual increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide attributable to human activities — primarily the burning of coal, oil, and natural gas — is about 1 part in 10,000 of that contained in the oceans and biosphere — a contribution of ultimately negligible consequence. Since, however, this human-released carbon must travel through the atmosphere to reach the ocean and biotic reservoirs, human use, while it continues, has caused a transient rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide from about 0.03% to about 0.04% of atmospheric molecules. The primary environmental result of this rise is plant fertilization. We are moving carbon from below ground into the atmosphere, where it is available to produce more plants and animals — a wonderful and unexpected gift from the industrial revolution.

The Earth’s atmosphere and surface are warmed by solar radiation; the greenhouse effect — primarily caused by atmospheric water vapor; and other less-understood phenomena. Carbon dioxide and methane are also greenhouse gases, but their physical properties render their greenhouse effects very weak. Neither warms the Earth significantly, and no greenhouse warming caused by these two substances has ever been unequivocally observed. The warming and cooling of the Earth is correlated most closely with fluctuations in solar activity and is entirely uncorrelated with human hydrocarbon use.

This has not, however, troubled Al Gore, the United Nations, and their enviro retainers, who are regaling the body politic with unverified computer projections that purport to predict the weather centuries in the future. These computer models cannot predict the weather next week, nor can they even “predict” the weather last year. In order to make the models conform at least somewhat to past temperature trends, their handlers have introduced 6 and even 7 adjustable parameters into their calculations. As Enrico Fermi famously remarked when quoting his friend, the great mathematician and computer pioneer John von Neumann, “with 3 parameters I can fit an elephant and with 4, I can make him wiggle his trunk.”

Why are these people doing this? Why has Al Gore positioned himself to become a historical laughing stock, and why have a few hundred United Nations climate change-funded “scientists” joined them? The reason surely is not global warming. If they truly were alarmed as they say about imminent climatic peril, they would be clamoring for the Penner-Teller solution. These scientists have shown that slight injections of sun-blocking particulates into the upper atmosphere would immediately erase all Earth warming of the past 200 years. Teller estimated the cost to achieve this cooler temperature at about $1 billion. A similar additional amount would probably be required annually to maintain the cooling.

If Al Gore were truly alarmed about hydrocarbon use, he would be clamoring for nuclear power plants. The construction of just 50 nuclear installations similar to that partially completed at Palo Verde near Phoenix would erase most of the U.S. carbon dioxide output – and would also erase most of the U.S. trade deficit at the same time. Yet, while The Wall Street Journal recently counted 381 nuclear power plants in various stages of planning or construction around the world — but none being constructed in the United States, Al Gore and his retainers actually oppose nuclear power.

So, why are they doing this? In the words of Indiana Jones — “fortune and glory, kid, fortune and glory” — paraphrase that “money and power, madam, money and power.” Al Gore, himself, has already accumulated astonishing personal wealth during his campaign against world energy technology and is now a principal in a new corporation being formed to profit from public fear of global warming. Meanwhile, United Nations bureaucrats are mesmerized by the prospect of taxing and rationing world energy supplies — a position of virtually unlimited wealth and power that would give them life-and-death control over both world technology and the human race.

And, why do we prefer that Al Gore and his friends not succeed? One reason is that, in the poorer countries of the world, billions of people are using technology to lift themselves from poverty and to gain some of the technological blessings that Americans now enjoy. These people need inexpensive, relatively low technology energy that can, with current methods, only be practically derived from hydrocarbons. World hydrocarbon rationing would deprive them of this energy, destroy their dreams, and cause them to slip backwards into suffering, poverty, and death.

Simultaneously, Americans can only maintain and extend their own technology and prosperity with inexpensive energy — available now in practical quantities only from hydrocarbon and nuclear sources. Moreover, only people who are prosperous can afford the cost of true environmentalism.

Most people agree that increased quality, quantity, and length of human life and decreased human suffering are worthwhile goals. These goals are best reached by technological advance, and inexpensive energy is the currency of technological progress. The myth of human-caused global warming currently threatens these goals and that technological advance. This is the truth — inconvenient as it may be to the self-centered aspirations of Al Gore and his United Nations friends.

More information and proof can be found here.

Government In Contempt Of America

[Text of post removed, as it could have been misconstrued harmfully]

This blossoming Earth could now be in jeopardy, for reasons both natural and man-made. According to a growing number of scientists, the period of global warming that we have experienced over the past few centuries as Earth climbed out of the Little Ice Age is about to end. The oceans, which have been releasing their vast store of carbon dioxide as the planet has warmed — CO2 is released from oceans as they warm and dissolves in them when they cool — will start to take the carbon dioxide back. With less heat and less carbon dioxide, the planet could become less hospitable and less green, especially in areas such as Canada’s Boreal forests, which have been major beneficiaries of the increase in GPP and NPP.

The “scientists” who forecast Global Warming have been absolutely, perfectly wrong! Today, we live in a veritable garden planet, which means a warm planet; although that sweet situation is perhaps now fleeting. Government has replaced science with utter lies, in its contempt for America.

Source: In Praise of CO2


Alleviate World Hunger

How alleviate world hunger? In the next Little Ice Age, and the next real Ice Age, inevitably and inexorably coming to Earth, maybe sooner, maybe later, but absolutely coming, especially how alleviate world hunger? When the Earth’s temperature drops by 2.5 degrees centigrade (4.5 degrees Farenheit) and the growing seasons shorten by weeks or months, how alleviate world hunger? Why is Earth greener today than it has been over the history of human observation from space? (See Surprise: Earths’ Biosphere is Booming, Satellite Data Suggests CO2 the Cause).

To alleviate world hunger, produce more clean carbon dioxide! Carbon dioxide is plant food; and plants make people food. The opposite of pollution, carbon dioxide is necessary for the Earth’s ecosystems. More carbon dioxide means more crop production, simply. For certain, more carbon dioxide does not make Earth any warmer, as recent temperature observation shows:

Earth cools, as carbon dioxide increases

Earth cools, as carbon dioxide increases

Monthly Satellite Temperature Chart by Joe D’Aleo, ICECAP

Alleviate world hunger produce more clean carbon dioxide

. . .Far from being a pollutant, man along with every animal on land, fish in the sea, and bird in the air is totally dependent on atmospheric carbon dioxide for his food supply.

Some politicians complain that the United States with only 3% of the world population uses 25% of the energy. But the clean carbon dioxide which we produce is increasing food production everywhere on earth. China, on the other hand, is building new power plants at a record rate using the abundant domestic supply of coal they have and has now passed the United States as the leading producer of carbon dioxide. Although their coal has a high sulfur content, they are building the new plants without any pollution controls. The sulfur dioxide which these power plants are releasing to the atmosphere, besides smelling like rotten eggs is, in sunlight, readily converted to sulfur trioxide, the highly solublegas responsible for most acid rain.

Much more, here.

Democrat Climatology and Economics

1. Increasing the supply of oil will not reduce its price.
2. Photovoltaics work GREAT at night; A watt at night is just as cheap as a watt at noon, with photovoltaics. (When you need energy at night, you should REMEMBER the energy you had at noon).
3. Silicon has been unavailable to make photovoltaics and chips because of Bush and Cheney and Big Oil.
4. Higher transportation costs of food will help Americans lose weight.
5. Wind power is fine, in red states.
6. The oceans temperatures are insignificant if they are going down.
7. Cosmic rays are a Republican invention.
8. ANWR and Florida off-shore are exquisitely fragile ecosystems, because oil exists under them.
9. Antarctic ice is just about gone.
10. Chinese environmental practices are far advanced beyond American Big Oil and thus not threatening the exquisitely fragile ecosystem off-shore Florida localized above the oil.
11. Economic progress, if centrally planned, will revolutionize humanity (as it has before). This can be called “change.”
12. Temperature is insignificant if it is going down.
13. American oil companies have caused the high gasoline prices in the US and China.
14. Commodity markets have a rule that speculators only can purchase oil on margin; and not sell it on margin.
15. Speculators are unconcerned about the supply of oil increasing. They will only continue to drive prices up no matter how much supply is increased.
16. Comprehensive, central planning makes the best economy. Energy is only one example.
17. Democrats are good at planning oil production. See?
18. Prudhoe Bay’s exquisitely fragile ecosystem only looks healthy today.
19. The brilliance of ethanol from corn is a shining example of the benefits of comprehensive central planning.
20. Grain products cause obesity anyway.

Much more to come. Or add yours.

Progress Back to the Village

What does it matter if the Al Gore Minimum extends, producing Maunder-like frigidity around the world? Progress back to the village will continue unabated. The stranglehold, the spector, of invisible anthropogenic global warming, materializing mysteriously someday in the future, is firmly in place.

The energy to keep you warm, transport your food and goods, or light your home won’t be available. As we’ve seen, development of additional energy resources is prohibited. Construction of new coal-fired plants is not approved, as a rule. Nuclear energy is blocked in the United States. Undefined “change” designed to re-habitate you into a primitive village is gathering momentum. Hydrocarbon fuels are practically banned, already, with the stampede to implement caps and trade global carbon tyranny. Human economic activity is to be cut off at the ankles, to mitigate imaginary anthropogenic global warming; a phenomenon which has never been observed outside of a rigged-up computer model. You are a few years at most from a grass hut; and the hut isn’t in the balmy South Pacific. Pollution from factories will be a thing of the past; as will the factories. Production of meat food will cease. With your handy solar cell array, you can choose to operate a light bulb, or a global warming climate model on your legacy PC, when there is bright sun. For dinner, you can have your choice of acorns or whatever you can grow in a three month season. Disease due to serious dietary constriction, in a climate requiring higher caloric intake will be widespread. You won’t need a refrigerator, nine months of the year. When you do need a refrigerator, your power source won’t suffice to operate one.

Finally, agrarian reform will be accomplished. Humans will all be exactly equal and pathetically miserable. This is called “progress.” The dark ages will come again, with a vengeance.

The true winner of the cold war may be emerging. With the assistance of massive public carbon hysteria, induced by prodigious distortion of data, facts and reality, capitalism will finally be overcome Al Gore and his team of jet-setting kommissars will partition whatever wealth and whatever energy remains, so as to keep Earth healthy according to their definition. The dictatorship of the proletariat will be the order of the day (the proletariat always turns out to be a few elites).

The alternative is to truly understand the pathetically small impact of carbon dioxide on global climate, which has been clearly demonstrated over the last 100 years, not to mention the entire “history” of the Earth. Carbon dioxide is not a toxin. While practical direct solar conversion technology does not exist yet (even when there is solution to the storage problem, solar cells only produce energy about one-third of the day), the means to produce energy cleanly from hydrocarbons very much does exist, and is widely practiced – but not everywhere. We must anticipate coming cool periods and have the energy available to negotiate them with minimal human tragedy.

Those forcing progress back to the village must be stopped; we are near the real tipping point. The exact timing seems to depend on the Sun! Our information on the Sun is inadequate now. The Earth isn’t getting sick; humans may well be.

Time Running Out On Corn; Blizzard in S. Dakota

Unfortunately, the scientific forecasts we have received about global warming have been absolutely backwards! The globe is indeed cooling, as even NASA now hints. Instead of hysterical frenzy about carbon dioxide, our resources should have been devoted to storing corn, and grain-based food products.

Only 10% of the crop is in, as of April 28. Normally by now, 35% of the crop is planted.

Purdue (Indiana) says the corn should all be in by about May 1, if we are to expect an optimal crop (apparently Purdue doesn’t consider 24% crop loss much of a problem!) I think it is now after May 1.

The good news: for now, the wheat crop is OK. Soybeans, a planting alternative to corn, are good.

The bad news: Blizzard delivers 4 feet of snow in South Dakota I wonder if the blizzard will move eastward? Why, yes; snowing in Minnesota and Wisconsin, now.

Food gets expensive in cold periods on Earth. Nobody has ever proven the slightest negative impact from carbon dioxide. Al Gore and associates are manufacturing imaginery problems, and ignoring the real ones.

Grain Outlook: Corn Planting Delay Pushes Price Higher

Corn planting progress has been disappointing and is starting to be reflected in an even higher price in the marketplace. The most recent USDA Crop Progress report, released April 28th, showed only 10 percent of the nation’s corn acreage planted compared to the five-year average of 35 percent. Of the biggest corn producing states, Iowa planting was 49 percent behind, Illinois was 30 percent less than normal, and in Minnesota, only 1 percent of the corn had been planted versus the five-year average of 27 percent. While the Eastern Corn Belt appears to be drying out, the Northern Corn Belt remains wet; and more rain is in the forecast.

Time is running out on corn. Although some industry people are showing signs of anxiety, no one seems to be panicking yet. There are two dangers: 1) not enough corn acres will get planted, and 2) corn will be planted too late to produce trend line yield.

In its March 31st Planting Intentions Report, based on a farmer survey, the USDA estimated that 86 million acres of corn would be planted this spring. Traders and industry experts ran the numbers on projected corn demand and came to a consensus agreement that farmers needed to plant at least 89 million acres of corn. Corn price moved up in an attempt to bid more acres into corn. But the weather has not been cooperating.

An analysis conducted this week showed that with projected usage, 89 million acres of corn producing at trend line yield of about 155 bushels per acre would give a barely adequate corn supply. Price would likely remain in the $6 range. If 90 million acres are planted and harvested at trend line yield, corn stocks would build enough to bring corn price down into the $5 range. For both models, below trend line yields resulted in higher corn price. If corn acres planted fall below 89 million acres, even with trend line yield, corn price would move up to a level that would ration the available supply. No attempt was made to analyze the effect of unfavorable weather during the growing season.

The conclusions here in early May are 89 to 90 million acres of corn need to be planted, and soon, to optimize the crop’s yield potential. Then, we will need good weather conditions throughout the growing season to produce trend line yield. With the 2007/08 carryover supply tightening, there is no cushion to fall back on.

Purpose Of Global Warming

Yes, Global Warming has a purpose. If Global Warming has a cause, though, carbon dioxide is not it.

Top scientists and meteorologists, including Richard Lindzen can find no warming since 1995; for some scientists, 1998 was the start.  Carbon dioxide has risen continuously in the interrim. Now NASA finds that for the next decade and more, warming is out of the forecast, suddenly; while carbon dioxide will continue to increase. What happened to those expensive computer models?

The obvious and practically complete lack of causation of global warming by carbon dioxide is not new. Polar ice core samples show only that carbon dioxide follows (lags) global temperature far into Earth’s past.  This is in perfect contradiction to Al Gore’s polemic.  And in perfect contradiction to his computer models of climate.  Why is this information ignored?

No good reason. Observe that even though global cooling is now well established and predominant in the long range forecast, anthropogenic carbon dioxide is still a mysterious, evil force; and no human sacrifice in the control of carbon dioxide is too extreme or severe.  Even as Earth gets cold.

But the real purpose of seemingly hysterical global warming alarmism is to control you; not carbon dioxide. Carbon dioxide is only a means to the end of of taking control of you, by taking control of energy. Carbon credit sales are a mere sideshow, probably a ruse. Like collectivists used oil supply as an excuse to institutionalize ridiculously inefficient ethanol from corn, whatever its impact on food availability, anthropogenic carbon dioxide is now a sinister mantra, and an excuse, to take progressively greater control of you, by regulation of energy.  No matter the economic paralysis which will result; and no matter how cold it gets.

Setting aside the propensity of collectivists to control populations, never for the good: high energy prices, and the limited availability of energy, whether nuclear, or from fossil fuels,  poses a terrific threat to humanity. Earth may get really cold; and perhaps sooner rather than later.  History will repeat.  Al Gore and his co-conspirators want to reduce the supply of energy; and make what remains far more expensive.   This is far more foolish than converting food into energy deficient gasoline. 

NASA Says Climate Shifting to Cooler Temperatures

Thursday, May 1, 2008 10:33 AM

By: Phil Brennan

The allegedly warming earth is in for about 30 years of cooling according to NASA, one of the leading global warming theory advocates.

NASA has confirmed that a developing natural climate pattern will likely result in much colder temperatures, according to Marc Shepherd, writing in the April 30 American Thinker. He adds that NASA was also quick to point out that such natural phenomena should not confuse the issue of manmade greenhouse gas induced global warming which apparently will be going on behind the scenes while our teeth are chattering from a decade and a half long cold spell.

“A cool-water anomaly known as La Niña occupied the tropical Pacific Ocean throughout 2007 and early 2008. In April 2008, scientists at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory announced that while the La Niña was weakening, the Pacific decadal Oscillation – a larger-scale, Slower-cycling ocean pattern – had shifted to its cool phase.”

Notes Shepherd “This shift in the PDO, which could last for 20 or 30 years, can have significant implications for global climate, affecting Pacific and Atlantic hurricane activity, droughts and flooding around the Pacific basin, the productivity of marine ecosystems and global land temperature patterns.”

And the greatest impact here in the states, he adds, will likely be on west Coast residents, particularly growers.

Warns meteorologist Anthony Watts: “Look out California agriculture. The wine industry, fruits and nut growers will be hit with a shorter growing season and more threats of frost, among other things.”

Watts cites two recent reports of frost-induced crop devastation – an apple orchard in Paradise and wine grapes in Nevada County. He also offers a brief history of last century’s PDO phase shifts, and warns that California’s agriculture, which experienced “unprecedented growth” during the past warm phase, may now be in serious trouble as things cool down:

In 1905, PDO switched to a warm phase, in 1946, PDO switched to a cool phase, and in 1977, PDO switched to a warm phase again.

Notes Shepherd “Recently lower global temps, likely caused by the late start of Solar Cycle 24, already have some greenhouse gassers nervous – particularly amid speculation of a possible impending ‘little ice age.’

“But surely,” he says, “a 30 year protracted naturally-explainable cooling period concurrent with rising atmospheric CO2 levels would forever cool the public’s receptiveness to global warming alarmism. No problem – our ever panicking friends at NASA have that angle covered, too.”

Says NASA: “Natural, large-scale climate patterns like the PDO and El Niño-La Niña are superimposed on global warming caused by increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases and landscape changes like deforestation. According to Josh Willis, JPL oceanographer and climate scientist, ‘These natural climate phenomena can sometimes hide global warming caused by human activities. Or they can have the opposite effect of accentuating it.'”

In other words, CO2 is secretly warming the planet. Or not.

Postscript: Now (08-January), having considered the threatening cap-and-trade legislation I realize that carbon credits are integral to the control strategy; and not a sideshow – a key component of the total ruse.