Assault on Reason, by Expert Al Gore

After a year of the most abrupt cooling ever observed on Earth; while carbon dioxide has continued to increase, The Assault on Reason by Al Gore becomes increasingly incredible, if that is possible. Magnetic activity on the Sun increasingly emulates the period prior to the Dalton Minimum; we are now observing long periods free of sunspots, and other important magnetic indications (Average Geomagnetic Planetary Index (Ap)) run strongly parallel (Anthony Watts, Sun poised to make history with first spotless month since 1913)

Worth re-reading: “If Al Gore were truly concerned about carbon dioxide, he would be clamoring for nuclear power plants . . . Al Gore, himself, has already accumulated astonishing personal wealth during his campaign against world energy technology and is now a principal in a new corporation being formed to profit from public fear of global warming.”

The Virtues of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide

by Dr. Arthur Robinson Human Events January 4, 2008

(article includes 61 comments)

Al Gore’s movie, “An Inconvenient Truth,” includes some very remarkable revelations including:

1. A “computer calculated” temperature prediction curve with predictions beginning in 1938 — when neither Al Gore nor the computer had yet been invented.

2. Photos of South Sea islanders being washed from their islands by rising seas — sea level having risen 3 inches during the past 50 years.

3. Drawings of species driven to extinction by human use of hydrocarbons — including the Wooly Mammoth, which has been gone from the Earth for thousands of years.

4. A little girl’s ice cream cone melting before she can eat it — as a result of the current 0.5 degree centigrade per century increase in temperature.

5. 650,000 years of Earth temperature fluctuations, including 6 ice ages – all caused, according to Al Gore, by carbon dioxide fluctuations of entirely unknown origins.

Al Gore’s other popular offering is his book appropriately entitled The Assault on Reason — a subject for which he obviously has readily demonstrated expertise.

George Washington was at Valley Forge during the coldest period in 1,500 years, with Earth average temperatures dipping as low as 1 degree centigrade below the 3,000-year average. Since then, temperatures have gradually recovered. If the current rate of increase continues, about 2 centuries from now the temperature of the Earth will be back to that of the medieval period 1,000 years ago — when Greenland was green and warmer weather brought increased growing seasons and general rises in comfort and prosperity in many cooler climates.

Meanwhile, in the United States, rainfall is increasing, tornados are becoming less frequent, glaciers have been receding for 200 years — back to their more normal average lengths, and hurricane frequency and severity has been unchanged for the past century.

Standing timber in U.S. forests has, however, increased by 40% since 1950; 2,000-year-old pine trees are growing faster; and animal and plant quantity and diversity are sharply increasing. This is truly alarming! If current trends continue, we will be overrun by squirrels, deer, and foxes and fighting for our lives against aggressively growing orange and apple trees. A dire prediction was even published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences — I am not making this up — warning that poison ivy is also growing faster.

The three most important substances that make life possible are water, oxygen, and carbon dioxide. The primary structural and functional element in all living things is carbon. All carbon in protein, fat, carbohydrate, and the other organic molecules in living things is derived from atmospheric carbon dioxide. Without atmospheric carbon dioxide, life as we know it would not be possible. Plants inhale carbon dioxide and are thereby fertilized. When atmospheric carbon dioxide increases — as it has by about 30% during the past century, plant life and the animal life that thrives upon it are also increased.

The annual increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide attributable to human activities — primarily the burning of coal, oil, and natural gas — is about 1 part in 10,000 of that contained in the oceans and biosphere — a contribution of ultimately negligible consequence. Since, however, this human-released carbon must travel through the atmosphere to reach the ocean and biotic reservoirs, human use, while it continues, has caused a transient rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide from about 0.03% to about 0.04% of atmospheric molecules. The primary environmental result of this rise is plant fertilization. We are moving carbon from below ground into the atmosphere, where it is available to produce more plants and animals — a wonderful and unexpected gift from the industrial revolution.

The Earth’s atmosphere and surface are warmed by solar radiation; the greenhouse effect — primarily caused by atmospheric water vapor; and other less-understood phenomena. Carbon dioxide and methane are also greenhouse gases, but their physical properties render their greenhouse effects very weak. Neither warms the Earth significantly, and no greenhouse warming caused by these two substances has ever been unequivocally observed. The warming and cooling of the Earth is correlated most closely with fluctuations in solar activity and is entirely uncorrelated with human hydrocarbon use.

This has not, however, troubled Al Gore, the United Nations, and their enviro retainers, who are regaling the body politic with unverified computer projections that purport to predict the weather centuries in the future. These computer models cannot predict the weather next week, nor can they even “predict” the weather last year. In order to make the models conform at least somewhat to past temperature trends, their handlers have introduced 6 and even 7 adjustable parameters into their calculations. As Enrico Fermi famously remarked when quoting his friend, the great mathematician and computer pioneer John von Neumann, “with 3 parameters I can fit an elephant and with 4, I can make him wiggle his trunk.”

Why are these people doing this? Why has Al Gore positioned himself to become a historical laughing stock, and why have a few hundred United Nations climate change-funded “scientists” joined them? The reason surely is not global warming. If they truly were alarmed as they say about imminent climatic peril, they would be clamoring for the Penner-Teller solution. These scientists have shown that slight injections of sun-blocking particulates into the upper atmosphere would immediately erase all Earth warming of the past 200 years. Teller estimated the cost to achieve this cooler temperature at about $1 billion. A similar additional amount would probably be required annually to maintain the cooling.

If Al Gore were truly alarmed about hydrocarbon use, he would be clamoring for nuclear power plants. The construction of just 50 nuclear installations similar to that partially completed at Palo Verde near Phoenix would erase most of the U.S. carbon dioxide output – and would also erase most of the U.S. trade deficit at the same time. Yet, while The Wall Street Journal recently counted 381 nuclear power plants in various stages of planning or construction around the world — but none being constructed in the United States, Al Gore and his retainers actually oppose nuclear power.

So, why are they doing this? In the words of Indiana Jones — “fortune and glory, kid, fortune and glory” — paraphrase that “money and power, madam, money and power.” Al Gore, himself, has already accumulated astonishing personal wealth during his campaign against world energy technology and is now a principal in a new corporation being formed to profit from public fear of global warming. Meanwhile, United Nations bureaucrats are mesmerized by the prospect of taxing and rationing world energy supplies — a position of virtually unlimited wealth and power that would give them life-and-death control over both world technology and the human race.

And, why do we prefer that Al Gore and his friends not succeed? One reason is that, in the poorer countries of the world, billions of people are using technology to lift themselves from poverty and to gain some of the technological blessings that Americans now enjoy. These people need inexpensive, relatively low technology energy that can, with current methods, only be practically derived from hydrocarbons. World hydrocarbon rationing would deprive them of this energy, destroy their dreams, and cause them to slip backwards into suffering, poverty, and death.

Simultaneously, Americans can only maintain and extend their own technology and prosperity with inexpensive energy — available now in practical quantities only from hydrocarbon and nuclear sources. Moreover, only people who are prosperous can afford the cost of true environmentalism.

Most people agree that increased quality, quantity, and length of human life and decreased human suffering are worthwhile goals. These goals are best reached by technological advance, and inexpensive energy is the currency of technological progress. The myth of human-caused global warming currently threatens these goals and that technological advance. This is the truth — inconvenient as it may be to the self-centered aspirations of Al Gore and his United Nations friends.

More information and proof can be found here.

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Human CO2 Snuffs Out Sun’s 10.7cm Band

Anthropogenic carbon dioxide has caused kidney stones, obesity of Filipinos, and lower IQ (Today, global warming causes… ). But this latest outrage is surely the last straw.

Earthquakes? Tidal waves? (also frequently caused by carbon dioxide). Insignificant, compared to putting the Sun to sleep! Anthony Watts has the story, Sun in deep slumber: 10.7 solar flux hits record low value. Maybe this CO2 stuff is just as dangerous as Al Gore and James Hansen swear it must be.

If the Sun’s magnetic activity shuts down for a prolonged interval (and note that the 10.7cm flux is a measure of that activity), Earth’s essential Solar protection from high energy cosmic rays will be marginally diminished. Those high energy cosmic rays, free to penetrate the solar system and Earth’s lower atmosphere, will more often cause electron showers and increased low cloud formation. The increased low clouds will reflect more of the Sun’s energy, raising the albedo of Earth, and dropping the temperature. A few degrees is all it will take; and Al Gore’s tragic prophecy of Global Cooling will become reality. Growing seasons will be shorter, food quantity and variety will be drastically diminished, just when, on a colder Earth, humans will need more food; more calories in their diets. Just like in 1650 AD; and just like in 1825 AD.

You think expensive gasoline is a problem.

Sunspots are also a measure of solar activity. And we have had no sunspots in the last 24 days, when cycle 24 should have been going strong, for long! We haven’t seen a cycle 24 spot in 73 days (ICECAP, William Briggs, June 15, 2008).

Carbon dioxide is bad stuff, indeed. So be sure not to emit any carbon dioxide. And be ashamed, very ashamed, of the damage to the Universe, and to the Sun, caused by you.

Alleviate World Hunger

How alleviate world hunger? In the next Little Ice Age, and the next real Ice Age, inevitably and inexorably coming to Earth, maybe sooner, maybe later, but absolutely coming, especially how alleviate world hunger? When the Earth’s temperature drops by 2.5 degrees centigrade (4.5 degrees Farenheit) and the growing seasons shorten by weeks or months, how alleviate world hunger? Why is Earth greener today than it has been over the history of human observation from space? (See Surprise: Earths’ Biosphere is Booming, Satellite Data Suggests CO2 the Cause).

To alleviate world hunger, produce more clean carbon dioxide! Carbon dioxide is plant food; and plants make people food. The opposite of pollution, carbon dioxide is necessary for the Earth’s ecosystems. More carbon dioxide means more crop production, simply. For certain, more carbon dioxide does not make Earth any warmer, as recent temperature observation shows:

Earth cools, as carbon dioxide increases

Earth cools, as carbon dioxide increases

Monthly Satellite Temperature Chart by Joe D’Aleo, ICECAP

Alleviate world hunger produce more clean carbon dioxide

. . .Far from being a pollutant, man along with every animal on land, fish in the sea, and bird in the air is totally dependent on atmospheric carbon dioxide for his food supply.

Some politicians complain that the United States with only 3% of the world population uses 25% of the energy. But the clean carbon dioxide which we produce is increasing food production everywhere on earth. China, on the other hand, is building new power plants at a record rate using the abundant domestic supply of coal they have and has now passed the United States as the leading producer of carbon dioxide. Although their coal has a high sulfur content, they are building the new plants without any pollution controls. The sulfur dioxide which these power plants are releasing to the atmosphere, besides smelling like rotten eggs is, in sunlight, readily converted to sulfur trioxide, the highly solublegas responsible for most acid rain.

Much more, here.

Time Running Out On Corn; Blizzard in S. Dakota

Unfortunately, the scientific forecasts we have received about global warming have been absolutely backwards! The globe is indeed cooling, as even NASA now hints. Instead of hysterical frenzy about carbon dioxide, our resources should have been devoted to storing corn, and grain-based food products.

Only 10% of the crop is in, as of April 28. Normally by now, 35% of the crop is planted.

Purdue (Indiana) says the corn should all be in by about May 1, if we are to expect an optimal crop (apparently Purdue doesn’t consider 24% crop loss much of a problem!) I think it is now after May 1.

The good news: for now, the wheat crop is OK. Soybeans, a planting alternative to corn, are good.

The bad news: Blizzard delivers 4 feet of snow in South Dakota I wonder if the blizzard will move eastward? Why, yes; snowing in Minnesota and Wisconsin, now.

Food gets expensive in cold periods on Earth. Nobody has ever proven the slightest negative impact from carbon dioxide. Al Gore and associates are manufacturing imaginery problems, and ignoring the real ones.

Grain Outlook: Corn Planting Delay Pushes Price Higher

Corn planting progress has been disappointing and is starting to be reflected in an even higher price in the marketplace. The most recent USDA Crop Progress report, released April 28th, showed only 10 percent of the nation’s corn acreage planted compared to the five-year average of 35 percent. Of the biggest corn producing states, Iowa planting was 49 percent behind, Illinois was 30 percent less than normal, and in Minnesota, only 1 percent of the corn had been planted versus the five-year average of 27 percent. While the Eastern Corn Belt appears to be drying out, the Northern Corn Belt remains wet; and more rain is in the forecast.

Time is running out on corn. Although some industry people are showing signs of anxiety, no one seems to be panicking yet. There are two dangers: 1) not enough corn acres will get planted, and 2) corn will be planted too late to produce trend line yield.

In its March 31st Planting Intentions Report, based on a farmer survey, the USDA estimated that 86 million acres of corn would be planted this spring. Traders and industry experts ran the numbers on projected corn demand and came to a consensus agreement that farmers needed to plant at least 89 million acres of corn. Corn price moved up in an attempt to bid more acres into corn. But the weather has not been cooperating.

An analysis conducted this week showed that with projected usage, 89 million acres of corn producing at trend line yield of about 155 bushels per acre would give a barely adequate corn supply. Price would likely remain in the $6 range. If 90 million acres are planted and harvested at trend line yield, corn stocks would build enough to bring corn price down into the $5 range. For both models, below trend line yields resulted in higher corn price. If corn acres planted fall below 89 million acres, even with trend line yield, corn price would move up to a level that would ration the available supply. No attempt was made to analyze the effect of unfavorable weather during the growing season.

The conclusions here in early May are 89 to 90 million acres of corn need to be planted, and soon, to optimize the crop’s yield potential. Then, we will need good weather conditions throughout the growing season to produce trend line yield. With the 2007/08 carryover supply tightening, there is no cushion to fall back on.

Carbon dioxide residence time debunked

It seems the cold Pacific Ocean may be taking up a lot of carbon dioxide.

HT, source: Icecap, Anthony Watts

(more coming)

Carbon Dioxide Ocean Uptake?

Whither Carbon Dioxide

Carbon dioxide content in Earth’s atmosphere has increased monotonically and continuously since 1998.  Why then have not global temperatures increased, in the same time period?  As mysteriously as carbon dioxide has disappeared from the causes of climate change, it has also disappeared from this linked article.  You check; I cannot find “carbon dioxide” in it.

Global temperatures ‘to decrease’

…This would mean that temperatures have not risen globally since 1998 when El Nino warmed the world….

So; suddenly it was El Nino which warmed the world.  And carbon dioxide is nowhere to be found.  Since carbon dioxide evolution from the ocean, as it is warmed by the Sun, exceeds human production, there is really plenty of it.  Carbon dioxide just doesn’t have much to do with global warming, does it?

(Note:  the above referenced article is apparently receiving some emergency Rx!  NewsBusters BBC Changes Temperature Decrease Article To Incite Climate Hysteria, and Jennifer Marohasy Now You See It, Now You Don’t – bottom of article)

 

 

 

Frigid Forecast

Our reaction to inconsequential warming during an interglacial phase is seriously misdirected.  Here the argument to increase carbon dioxide emissions is set forth, and it is rather well done.  The current solar minimum is expected to continue until as late as July of next year (2009). The bottom line? A 2.2 degree C decline by 2030, shortening growing seasons by a month. Pay attention, environmentalists, and all.

Via  Dalton Minimum Returns

Solar Cycle 24: Implications for the United States

When I asked at the beginning of this presentation if we lived in a special time, well that is true in relation to the last three million years. The special time we live in is called an interglacial. Normally, and that is 90% of the time, the spot I am standing on is covered by several thousand feet of ice. Relative to the last four interglacials, we may be somewhere near the end of the current interglacial. The end of the Holocene will be a brutal time for humanity.

and

Polar faculae are another sign of weaker magnetic fields on the Sun. Based on the relative number of polar faculae during this minimum relative to the last, and the intervening solar cycle peak of 120, I predict that the amplitude of Solar Cycle 24 will be 45. This is very similar to the amplitudes of Solar Cycles 5 and 6 during the Dalton Minimum.

the bad news (but not as bad as it could be):

The evidence from the Hanover solar cycle length to temperature relationship, and that of the other cities in this presentation, is incontrovertible. There will be a significant cooling very soon.

Our generation has known a warm, giving Sun, but the next generation will suffer a Sun that is less giving, and the Earth will be less fruitful.